My work analyses CASCO insurance system’s behavior of one insurance company. At first I made a mathematical model of CASCO insurance. Then I properly described analyses of policies’ contracts, insurance events, insurance premiums and payouts. Later I estimated approximate confidence intervals of profit and made a forecast for 2007 year. And finally I analysed the work efficiency of subdivisions and branches. The mathematical model of CASCO insurance system let us to do various experiments in mathematical space when we analyses incomes of insurance company.

Raktažodžiai: KASKO, draudimas, modeliavimo algoritmas, matematinis modelis, kitimo dinamika, tiesinė regresija, chi -kvadrat kriterijus, vienfaktorė dispersinė analizė, Puasono skirstinys, CASCO, insurance, dynamics, mathematical model, profit